|
July 10
|
Farm
Bill; Ag Economy; and, Immigration- Wednesday
Posted
By Keith Good On July 10, 2013
Farm
Bill- A Farm Only Farm Bill, Without A Nutrition Title
Matt
Fuller reported yesterday at Roll Call Online that, “House
Republican leaders have decided to drop food stamps from the farm bill and
are whipping the farm-only portion of the bill for a vote that will likely
come this week, according to a GOP leadership aide.
“The nutrition
portion of the bill would be dealt with later.
“The Rules Committee is expected to post
the text Tuesday night and meet Wednesday, the aide said.”
Mr. Fuller
explained that, “The ‘new’ farm bill would be the bill as it
finished on the floor before the break, with the addition of a
repeal of the 1949 law that requires the passage or extension of a
farm bill.
“Rory
Cooper, a spokesman for Majority Leader Eric Cantor, R-Va.,
said leadership has not yet decided to schedule a vote.
“‘There has
been no decision made to schedule a vote on a farm bill, in
any form,’ he said in a statement to CQ Roll Call.”
Erik
Wasson reported yesterday at The Hill’s On the Money Blog that,
“Still, House Agriculture Chairman Frank Lucas (R-Okla.) told
The Hill Tuesday he is open to the idea if it would help get a farm bill
done…‘[I] am open to thinking outside the box. Splitting the farm bill would
certainly be thinking outside the box,’ he said. ‘We’ve got to get a
farm bill done.’
“Cantor has
been pushing the idea of splitting the bill, which Lucas previously has been
reluctant to embrace.
“At a
closed-door meeting Tuesday, Lucas said Cantor and other leaders are taking the
right approach, and this could provide a boost to bringing a split farm bill to
the floor soon, an aide said.”
Mr. Wasson
noted that, “Another aide said Lucas still prefers to keep the farm bill in one
piece but noted he has previously told local Oklahoma media he would support
splitting the idea if leaders decided that is the way to go.
“Lucas on
Tuesday said splitting the bill would be ‘contrary to tradition.’”
The Hill
update indicated that, “[Rep. Collin Peterson (D-Minn.), the
ranking member on the Agriculture committee] predicted though that the
move in the end would kill the farm bill in conference. Sending just a farm
subsidy bill to the Senate would result in the House-Senate conference sending
back just $5 billion in food stamp cuts, he said. Such a bill would not
have enough House GOP support to pass.”
Yesterday’s
Hill update added that, “‘I just don’t see how this gets it done,’ [Peterson]
added. ‘All this does is allow the House to blame the
Senate.
“‘When 532
groups send you a letter saying don’t do this, it’s
pretty stupid to do this I think,’ Peterson said.”
Bloomberg
writer James
Rowley reported yesterday that, “Removing food stamps and other
nutrition programs for low-income Americans from the farm bill may enable Republican
leaders to gain support within their own ranks to pass the agricultural
subsidies without the support of Democrats, who had objected to the
legislation’s $20.5 billion in cuts to the food programs over a decade.
“House
Republican leaders hope to pass the agriculture portion before the August
recess, said the aide, who wasn’t authorized to publicly discuss the plans
and spoke on condition of anonymity.”
The
Bloomberg article pointed out that, “Senate Agriculture Committee
Chairwoman Debbie Stabenow, a Michigan Democrat, has said
that a farm bill without food stamps is a non-starter.”
Mr. Rowley
added that, “The plan to separate food stamps from farm programs has
the support of House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan of Wisconsin,
the Republican vice presidential nominee last year, and Judiciary Committee
Chairman Bob Goodlatte of Virginia,
a former Agriculture Committee chairman.”
However,
the Bloomberg article indicated that, “Today, Peterson called
the two-bill proposal a ‘crazy strategy’ and said it would backfire.”
David
Rogers reported yesterday at Politico that, “The Farm Bill’s future
remained in serious doubt in the House Tuesday even after a reluctant
Agriculture Committee Chairman Frank Lucas said he would
support splitting the measure to allow separate votes on the nutrition title —
a strategy promoted by Majority Leader Eric Cantor.
“In a
members-only meeting of Republicans, senior lawmakers on the Agriculture panel
continued to express reservations to the Oklahoman. Early soundings by
the House whip organization Tuesday afternoon indicated that the leadership
still had an uphill climb to get to 218 Republican votes.
“Lucas may
have anticipated this when he told POLITICO after his committee meeting: ‘If
there are not 218 votes, if there is no assurance of success, why try the
effort.’”
The
Politico article quoted Chairman Lucas as saying, “This is not just a
committee bill anymore. It has become a process involving the whole House.
I’m trying, I’m trying.”
And AP
writer Mary
Clare Jalonick reported yesterday that,
“Republicans were assessing support for the idea, and a spokesman for House
Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, said no decisions had been
made on how to revive the bill.”
Ms. Jalonick pointed out that, “Minnesota Rep. Collin
Peterson, the top Democrat on the Agriculture Committee, said that
splitting the bill is ‘stupid’ and he doesn’t believe any Democrats would vote
for it.
“‘Even
if they got this through the House, I don’t see how you are successful in
getting a bill out of conference and signed by the president, because you have
alienated so many people in the process,’ he said.”
A separate Roll
Call update yesterday by Matt
Fuller stated that, “House GOP leaders’ plan to strip food stamps from
the farm bill ran into trouble Tuesday when it failed to win over
conservative groups who helped tank the measure
three weeks ago.”
Mr. Fuller
explained that, “The new bill would include a repeal of the 1949 law that
requires the passage or extension of a farm bill as a carrot to conservatives.
The nutrition portion of the bill, the aide said, would be dealt with
later. But GOP leaders have yet to announce an official way forward as
they struggle to line up the votes.”
The Roll
Call item noted that, “Heritage Action for America CEO Michael Needham and
Rep. Marlin Stutzman, R-Ind., came up
with the plan to split the bill more than a year ago. But Needham
released a
statement Tuesday criticizing the latest effort as a ploy.
“‘This is
nothing more than a naked attempt to get to a conference committee with the
Senate,’ Needham said.”
“Needham,
along with 20 other conservative group leaders, signed an open letter to
Speaker John A. Boehner that applauded the Republican leader
for splitting the bill but implored him to bring the legislation to the
floor under an open rule.”
Mr. Fuller
noted that, “Peterson said he thought the best way forward for farm bill
passage was not to proceed with a partisan bill but to take away the
Southerland amendment and give the farm bill another vote. [See
similar remarks from Rep. Peterson on a possible path forward from
June 21].
“‘I want
them to take the Southerland amendment out and put the bill back on the floor,’
Peterson said. ‘That’s what I told them … before they had the vote, I told them
that.’
“‘They’re
the ones that screwed this up, not me,’ Peterson added. ‘I had the votes
until they put those amendments up.’”
Concluding,
the Roll Call article stated that, “But Peterson predicts that Republicans will
soon have to face the reality that they do not have enough Republican support
for passage.
“‘They’re
whipping right now, and my guess is in a few days they’ll figure out they don’t
have the votes and then we might get back to reality,’ Peterson said.
“‘Hopefully,’
he added.”
David
Grant reported yesterday at The Christian Science Monitor Online that,
“Without robust support from fiscal hawks in the GOP, which still seems unlikely,
agriculture advocates worry that pursuing a GOP-only bill risks a second failed
vote on the farm bill.
“For most
legislation, being brought back to the floor after losing once is a moonshot. But twice?
“‘You
can come back from the dead once, but I don’t think you can do twice,’ says
Representative Peterson, who worked hand-in-glove with Agriculture
Chairman Frank Lucas (R) of Oklahoma each of the last two
years to try to get a bipartisan farm bill, including food stamps, to the
floor. ‘We can’t bring this bill up again unless it will actually pass.’”
Mr. Grant
added that, “But in the House, where [Dan Glickman, a senior fellow at
the Bipartisan Policy Center and former Agriculture secretary under President
Clinton] estimates only 60-some districts are predominantly
agricultural, splitting the bill opens it up to criticism from all parts of
the political spectrum in a way that could make it almost impossible to
pass in the future.
“‘It’s a
very bad idea because I think split farm and food stamp [bills] ultimately
jeopardizes both,’ says Glickman. The farm program, particularly,
represents ‘too narrow of a demographic to sustain itself in the
House.’”
Joseph Morton reported
today at the Omaha World-Herald Online that,
“Sen. Tom Harkin, D-Iowa, called separating the sections of the
bill a ‘terrible idea.’
“‘If
they succeed in doing that, that’s the end of farm bills,’ he said.
“Sen. Mike
Johanns, R-Neb., served as secretary of agriculture
under President George W. Bush and has not supported peeling off food stamps in
the past. Johanns said Tuesday that it’s
difficult to see the coalition that could get a farm bill passed without food
stamps.”
And Dave
Helling noted yesterday at the Kansas City
Star Online that, “A farm-subsidy bill without food
stamps has zero chance of passing the Senate. A stand-alone bill
that dramatically cuts food stamps also has no chance of passing in the
Senate.
“So
there will be votes, but Congress will be no closer to an actual farm bill at
the end of the week than it is today.
“That’s the
definition of dysfunction.”
At a
Heritage Foundation Bloggers Briefing yesterday, Rep. Marlin Stutzman (R., Ind.) made his case for splitting
the nutrition title from the Farm Bill- video
replay here.
In part,
Rep. Stutzman stated that, “And as I said at the
beginning, the farm bill is, it kind of is a reflection of how bad Washington
works. And so just to separate the bill really is a huge change
to the way Washington operates. And I think that’s why this is such a
big deal. People didn’t send me to Washington to continue the
status quo…[A]nd I think
this is a real game changer for us as conservatives in separating the food
stamp bill from the farm bill.”
In
responding to a question about potential SNAP reforms, Rep. Stutzman
indicated that, “And just about every food pantry will tell
you that if they got the amount of money that the food stamp program gets,they would turn
that dollar into either $1.50 or $2.00 to help people that really, genuinely
need help, compared to the probably $.75 to $.80 that actually get to people
with the food stamp program because of overhead cost.
“And so
I think that’s the solution, that we should be working with our charities and
food pantry infrastructure that’s already in place.”
Rep. Stutzman also acknowledged that under current political
realities, his goals of reform will likely take time to achieve: “Well, I
don’t…with this administration, I don’t think you’re going to get
there. We’re not going to get to the end game we want with
this administration and with the Senate that only cuts $4 billion.
It’s just…that’s peanuts. I mean, it’s not…I don’t even know if you can
really say with a straight face to people back home that we’re cutting food
stamp spending with $4 billion in cuts, because to me this program has always
exceeded…well, the facts are that the program has always exceeded CBO scores in
previous bills, so we might as well call this, even though it’s not a trillion
dollar bill technically, it’s a trillion dollar bill because it’s going to
surpass the score, I believe.”
Meanwhile,
Rep. Rosa DeLauro (D., Conn.) noted
in part yesterday that, “The decision by House Republican leaders to
drop anti-hunger programs—most notably food stamps—from the farm bill puts
the final nail in the coffin of the coalition that ensured farmers could make a
living and struggling families could put food on their table. Far from the
days of Bob Dole and Jacob Javits, the current
extreme group has done nothing but cut programs that fight hunger here at
home.”
Rep. Jim
McGovern (D., Mass.) tweeted
yesterday that, “A divided #FarmBill is yet
one more attempt to gut/eliminate #SNAP by a house GOP consistently focused on
that as a goal.”
Also,
Rep. Betty McCollum (D., Minn.) stated
yesterday that, “House Republicans embarrassed themselves when their
Farm Bill was rejected by 62 of their own members. The new GOP desperate scheme
to bring a micro-Farm Bill to the House floor without nutrition programs
is a display of political arrogance that destroys House tradition and
regular order.
“I completely
reject this Republican move to play political games with the
livelihoods of U.S. farmers and the lives of hungry Americans. It is time for
the House to take up and pass the bipartisan Senate Farm Bill.”
Similarly,
Sen. Pat Leahy (D., Vt.) tweeted
yesterday that, “Split #FarmBill into
pieces? That’s House GOP leaders’ latest (bad) idea. The real
solution? Allow vote on Senate’s bipartisan bill”
Also,
Rep. Steve King (R., Iowa) tweeted
yesterday that, “#Farm Bill: If bill is split in 2 & Ag sections
are a separate bill from nutrition, Food Stamps must be sunset after 5 yrs 2 force reform.”
National
Farmers Union President Roger Johnson noted in part yesterday that,
“Splitting farm programs and nutrition assistance into two separate bills
is a disservice to farmers, ranchers, rural residents and consumers.”
Meanwhile, Mark
Peters and Corey Boles reported in today’s Wall Street Journal (“As
Agriculture Booms, Farm Bill Gets Yawns”) that, “R.D. Wolheter
has gotten a stream of mailers from farm groups urging him to help pressure
Congress to pass a farm bill. But as the agricultural sector remains
strong, the grower of corn and soybeans on 3,000 acres in northeast Indiana has
let them stack up on his desk.
“For
decades, the farm bill has served as the main vehicle for U.S. agriculture
policy, getting renewed about every five years to keep billions of dollars
flowing to farm subsidies and rural development programs. But lobbyists
and lawmakers say the measure is drawing less grass-roots support from the Farm
Belt this time around as the House struggles to pass the measure for a
second straight year.”
The Journal
article noted that, “‘There has not been the sense of crisis people might
have expected,’ said Bill O’Conner, a former House Agriculture
Committee staff member, who now lobbies Congress on farm issues.”
Peters and
Boles added in today’s article that, “Rep. Collin Peterson, who
represents a district in rural Minnesota and is the top Democrat on the House
Agriculture Committee, has warned that if the farm bill is split, no House
Democrats would vote for it, and it would die in negotiations with the Senate
anyway. He says he fears that without a farm bill, growers would become
more exposed to a sustained decline in prices.
“Farmers
‘are very quick to forget the bad times,’ Mr. Peterson said. ‘Right now
they’re not too worried about this.’”
Speaking
earlier this week on the AgriTalk radio program with Mike
Adams, Mary Kay Thatcher, Senior Director of Congressional
Relations at the American Farm Bureau Federation, noted that, “You know,
nobody’s going to their House member and slamming their fist on the table and
saying we’ve got to have this farm bill.”
Ms.
Thatcher added that, “[I]t tells me prices are pretty good for most
commodities and so people aren’t as focused on the need for a safety net.
And it also tells me, I’ve heard lots of feedback, Mike, in the last few weeks
that members will say I don’t really need a farm bill, just give me crop
insurance. And they’re not really understanding
that crop insurance is, in essence, part of the farm bill now. They view
it as something separate. And it’s probably an education necessity that
we haven’t done well enough yet.”
In other
news, Bloomberg writers Phil
Milford and Jen Skerritt reported yesterday
that, “U.S. meat industry groups, joined by Canadian counterparts, sued the
Agriculture Department seeking to block rules requiring meat producers to
increase the amount of information about countries of origin on their products.
“Regulations
adopted in May require producers to specify where an animal was born, raised
and slaughtered. Retail packages can’t mix muscle cuts from different countries
under a general label, the groups said yesterday in a federal court complaint
in Washington.”
Agricultural
Economy
Reuters
writers Michael
Hirtzer and Julie Ingwersen reported
yesterday that, “Last year’s U.S. drought, the worst since the Dust
Bowl, is delivering its final sting to major grains buyers like Archer Daniels
Midland, Bunge Ltd and Cargill Inc, who are
paying record-high premiums for dwindling supplies of last year’s crops.
“Premiums
at the moment are as high as $1.75 a bushel above benchmark futures
prices on the Chicago Board of Trade, which have been depressed by signs of
a record harvest this coming autumn. The most active agriculture contract,
December corn , hit a two-year low last week near
$4.90 a bushel.
“The
residual effect of last year’s drought has triggered an unprecedented bidding
war for immediate supplies. Ethanol plants, soy processors and livestock
farmers, unwilling to pay the lofty premiums, are cutting operations instead.”
Immigration
Seung Min Kim reported yesterday at Politico that,
“Congressional Democrats are drawing a firm line in the immigration
debate: No reform without a path to citizenship.
“The four
Democratic members of the Senate Gang of Eight pressed that point to their
House counterparts in a closed-door meeting Tuesday morning, and attendees
made it clear that without a pathway to citizenship, immigration reform won’t
happen.”
--
Keith Good
President
FarmPolicy.com, Inc.
Champaign, IL
(t) 217.356.2269
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|
June 28
|
Farm
Bill; Ag Economy; CFTC; and, Immigration- Tuesday
Posted
By Keith Good On July 9, 2013
Farm
Bill
Robert
Costa reported yesterday at National Review Online that, “In a
tense, closed-door meeting today at the Capitol, House majority
leader Eric Cantor (R., Va.) scolded several
Republican committee chairmen for voting against the farm bill, which
failed to pass the House last month.
“According
to several sources, Cantor told the chairmen it was ‘unacceptable’ for
them to not vote together on final passage, especially since the leadership
supported their amendments to the agricultural package.
“Representative Frank
Lucas of Oklahoma, the agricultural committee chairmen, expressed
hope that the House would take up a farm bill again this summer, and Cantor
reportedly agreed with him. The majority leader went on to tell the group
that he doesn’t want another headache if he does that.”
Mr. Costa
added that, “Near the end, Cantor coolly reminded them that the leadership is
much more likely to usher their bills to the floor if they stick with him on
votes.
“Sources
say the chairmen were slightly surprised to hear such a warning
from the mild-mannered Virginian. But with rank-and-file Republicans angry
about the farm bill’s collapse, they know Cantor is facing pressure.”
Jerry
Hagstrom reported yesterday at National
Journal Online that, “How the House Republican leadership tries to salvage the
failed farm bill is becoming a test of the leadership of House Speaker John
Boehner, R-Ohio, and it will alsopit
the power of the farmers and antihunger activists
against the conservative groups that want to dismantle both the farm and
food-stamp programs.
“But the
real political and policy issue is whether House members have become more
responsive to national conservative groups than to farmers and antihunger advocates in their own districts who
know the importance of the farm bill to a major industry and to providing food
to jobless and low-paid people.”
Mr. Hagstrom pointed out that, “But even if the farm
bill is split in two, it looks like Heritage and the Club for Growth would
still recommend that members vote against it, because they object
to the underlying programs. Heritage said in a memo that its six principles
for farm-bill reform are separating food stamps from the farm
program, turning food stamps into a ‘work activation’
program, adding no new farm programs, avoiding any
increase in the cost of crop insurance, capping premium
subsidies, and repealing the sugar and dairy programs on the
grounds that they raise food prices. Since there is no way that
a single farm bill or two bills will contain all those provisions, there
seems no possibility that lawmakers who vote for the farm bill can get relief
from a barrage of conservative criticism.”
Yesterday
on the AgriTalk radio program with Mike
Adams, Mary Kay Thatcher, the Senior Director of Congressional
Relations for the American Farm Bureau Federation, discussed larger themes and
realities regarding the political climate in Congress.
Ms.
Thatcher indicated that, “[T]he problem continues to be that we have fewer
and fewer really competitive congressional districts in this country,
and so the people who are in a very Republican district fear that
someone more to the right of them might run against them in a primary, and
therefore they’ve got to be really careful about A– big, big cuts in food
stamps or B– do I go too far on immigration, so it’s the same issue, I think.”
She added
that, “You know, if my memory serves me, we probably only have 45 or 50
districts out of the 435 that are truly competitive between Democrat and
Republicans now, so the Democrats worry about are they liberal
enough, or is somebody more liberal going to run against them in a primary,
and the Republicans worry about someone more conservative running
against them in the primary, and I think it drives a lot of their
votes. They’re not really worried about the general election
anymore.”
With
respect to more immediate prospects on the Farm Bill, Ms. Thatcher stated
yesterday on AgriTalk that, “I think
what we’re looking for is the first person that comes to Speaker Boehner with
an idea that is viable on how they get to 218 votes, that’s what
they will bring to the floor. It could be this week,
it could be the end of the month. Certainly that’s what the leadership is
aiming for. It could be November.”
Ms.
Thatcher also reminded listeners that, “What we forget when we do this is we
not only have to pass the House now, but we have to then go to
conference and come back and pass both the Senate and the House with
that conferenced bill. It’s more than one step to be
considered.”
Greg
Sargent noted yesterday at The Plum Line Blog (Washington Post) that,
“On the farm bill, the collapse of the measure already shows that Boehner
can’t count on conservative support even for bills that contain major concessions
to them (such as the farm bill’s $20 billion in cuts to food stamps).
The response from conservatives will be to insist
on still more spending cuts in the bill.”
An update
posted yesterday at the Heritage Foundation Online stated that,
“[Rep. Marlin Stutzman (R., Ind.)] a
fourth-generation farmer from Indiana, will speak at The Bloggers Briefing on
Tuesday [today] about his #SplitTheBill campaign. The
Bloggers Briefing begins at 11:30 a.m. ET and will be broadcast on Livestream.”
Meanwhile, Carol
Stender reported yesterday at The
Post-Bulletin (Rochester, Minn.) Online that, “Seventh District
congressman Collin Peterson said it’s ‘probably not a good
idea’ to attempt to pass a farm bill by splitting it from
food nutrition legislation.
“Republican
friends have told him their party has decided to propose the split.
“Peterson,
speaking at a farm bill and ag
issues forum, hosted by Eighth District congressman Rick Nolan,
said the Senate might not agree to the split.”
Ms. Stender added that, “Keeping food, nutrition and the
farm program together has worked well, Peterson said. He’s concerned that
separating them might cause deeper cuts in the farm program.”
The
Post-Bulletin article indicated that, “‘Cantor has been pushing to have a
partisan bill that has no Democrats voting for it,’ he said. ‘We told him we
didn’t think that would work.’
“For the
first time in his 23 years in the House, Peterson said he has no idea what will
happen.
“‘This
is the first time that I’ve ever said that in my career,’ he said. ‘… And I don’t think
the Republicans have any idea, either. It’s a mess.’”
An item
yesterday by Sarah McCammon on the Marketplace
Morning Report (“Food
stamps may be cut from new farm bill”) stated that, “‘There’s a level of co-dependency on each policy,’ says
Rep. Steve King of Iowa (R-Iowa), who voted for the farm bill.
‘It requires the people from the cities, and primarily the inner cities, to
support some kind of ag
policy if they’re going to get their nutrition piece, and vice versa.’”
The Report added
that, “‘It’s been a marriage that’s worked quite well and we don’t want
to see it split,’ says Mary Kay Thatcher with the American
Farm Bureau Federation.”
Ken
Anderson reported yesterday at Brownfield that, “Although the idea
of splitting the farm bill into separate bills for farm and
nutrition programs seems to be gaining support, it’s not a realistic
long-term solution.
“So says
University of Nebraska Extension public policy specialist Brad Lubben.”
Mr.
Anderson indicated that, “‘There’s a reason farm and food came together some 40
years ago,’ Lubben says, ‘because it got the
coalition of support to consider farm legislation that already then was
recognizing a diminishing presence.’”
“‘You’ve
got redistricting and gerrymandered districts that have become more politically
polarized, such that you have fewer and fewer districts that really bridge the
rural-urban divide,’ [Lubben] says. ‘So who are
you going to find to push legislation in the House relative to farm and
farm-related programs?’”
The Brownfield
link included a replay of an interview with Dr. Lubben.
Brett
Neely reported yesterday at Minnesota Public Radio (MPR) Online that,
“For decades, Congress rolled food stamps and farm subsidies together into one
giant bill. The tactic generated lots of rural and urban votes from politicians
in both parties. Everyone got something out of the deal.
“That
longtime marriage, though, is in trouble. With federal money tight, old
alliances are starting to fray.”
The MPR
item noted that, “Former U.S. Agriculture Secretary Dan Glickman and
other observers say each of the commodity groups has been too busy
trying to get their own best deal to see the big picture.
“‘The
agriculture groups need to be working as a team rather than dairy working
dairy, sugar working sugar and corn working corn,’ Glickman said.”
Meanwhile, Phil
Izzo reported yesterday at The Real Time
Economics Blog (The Wall Street Journal) that, “Food-stamp use rose 2.8% in
the U.S. in April from a year earlier, with more than 15% of the
U.S. population receiving benefits. (See
an interactive map with data on use since 1990.)
“One of the
federal government’s biggest social welfare programs, which expanded when the
economy convulsed, isn’t shrinking back alongside the recovery.
“Food stamp
rolls increased on a year-over-year basis, but were 0.4% lower from the prior
month, the U.S. Department of Agriculture reported. Though
annual growth continues, the pace has slowed since the depths of the
recession.”
The Journal
item added that, “Mississippi was the state with the largest share
of its population relying on food stamps — 22% — though
Washington, DC was a bit higher overall at 23%.”
Also with
respect to nutrition, Julian
Hattem reported yesterday at The Hill’s RegWatch Blog that, “The Obama administration wants to
add Greek yogurt to school lunch menus.
“On Monday,
the Department of Agriculture announced it
was looking to buy the yogurt for schools participating in a federally assisted
program that subsidizes school lunches.”
***
In a look
at Senate activity related to the Farm Bill, Ramsey
Cox reported yesterday at The Hill’s Floor Action Blog that, “Senate
Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) called on Speaker John
Boehner (R-Ohio) to stop using the Hastert Rule —
only taking up legislation that has the support of a majority of Republicans [video
replay at FarmPolicy.com Online].
“‘The
Hastert Rule has been bad for this country, and Speaker Boehner should get away
from it,’ Reid said on the Senate floor Monday.
“Reid said
that if Boehner wasn’t using the rule named after former Speaker Dennis Hastert
(R-Ill.), the House could pass the bipartisan Senate farm bill and
immigration reform bill.”
The Hill
update added that, “Reid said if Boehner continues to insist on using the
Hastert Rule, any legislation passed in the House has ‘no hope of
passing’ in the Senate or being signed by the president.
“Reid
pointed out that the House couldn’t even pass its own farm bill last month, therefore Boehner should try to pass the Senate
farm bill with the help of Democrats.”
A news update
yesterday from Sen. Kay Hagan (D., N.C.) stated that,
“[Sen. Hagan] today visited Rudd Farm in Greensboro to talk about the
importance of approving a Farm Bill. In June, Hagan helped pass a bipartisan
Senate Farm Bill that contained major victories for North Carolina farmers.
“‘I am
deeply disappointed that the House has not passed a Farm Bill,’ said Hagan.
‘My first priority in Washington is to boost our economy and create jobs in
North Carolina.’”
***
In executive
branch perspective on Farm Bill developments, Sec. of
Agriculture Tom Vilsack was a guest over the Fourth of July
holiday on “The Insiders” television program (WHO-TV, Des Moines, Iowa) and
provided analysis on variables that contributed to the House failure to pass a
Farm Bill. The former Iowa governor also addressed specific issues
associated with the SNAP program, including remarks on the idea of splitting
nutrition from the farm programs in the overall bill.
A video
replay of “The Insiders” discussion with Sec. Vilsack is available here,
while a brief audio clip from the program can
be heard here (MP3- 2:30).
Agricultural
Economy
Purdue
University Agricultural Economist Chris Hurt indicated
yesterday at the farmdoc daily blog
(“Pork
Producers Can See the Promised Land”) “Pork producers can see
the ‘promised land’ of lower feed costs which will provide an extended
period of profitability. Those lower costs are not here yet, but could be
just weeks away as prospects for U.S. corn and soybean production have improved
in recent days. Producers can see prospects for $2.00 per bushel lowercash corn prices by harvest and $130 per
ton lower soybean meal prices in the July to October futures
spread. While they see the market’s anticipation of lower feed costs on the
near-horizon, they recognize there are still unknowns about
acreage, weather for the remainder of the growing season, and early frost.”
Andrew
Johnson Jr. reported yesterday at The Wall Street Journal Online that,
“Growing conditions for the country’s corn crop improved slightly last week,
a weekly report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture showed Monday.
“The U.S.
corn crop was rated as being 68% in good-to-excellent condition as
of Sunday, up 1 percentage point from a week earlier, the
USDA said.”
In trade related
news, Reuters writer Doug
Palmer reported yesterday that, “The United States and the
European Union, after nearly two years of preparation, start talks
on Monday aimed at securing a free-trade agreement to squeeze new
economic growth out of the world’s largest trade and investment relationship.
“‘We go
into these negotiations with the goal of achieving the broadest possible, most
comprehensive agreement that we can,’ U.S. Trade Representative Mike Froman told Reuters.”
With
respect to the U.S.- EU trade talks, Lydia DePillis penned an update yesterday at the Wonkblog (Washington Post) titled, “Talks
over a huge U.S.-Europe trade deal start this week. Here’s what you need to
know.”
James
Politi reported yesterday at The Financial
Times Online that, “At the start of the negotiations, top EU and US
officials were optimistic about the prospects for an agreement by the
end of next year – an ambitious timeline given the many sticking
points that have yet to be tackled by the negotiators.”
And Howard
Schneider reported in today’s Washington Post that, “U.S. labor and
environmental groups, largely silent in the run-up to the U.S.-Europe
free-trade talks, now say they worry that the negotiations could be used to
weaken consumer, health and other standards on both sides of the Atlantic.”
On a
separate trade issue, an update yesterday (“China’s
Genetically Modified Food Fight”) at the China Real Time Report (Wall
Street Journal) indicated that, “A Chinese agricultural official’s unsupported
claims about the carcinogenic risks of consuming genetically
modified soybeans have rekindled a fervent debate about the use of genetically
modified crops in a country with ever-expanding food needs.
“Wang Xiaoyu, deputy secretary general of the Heilongjiang
Soybean Association, a supporter of local non-genetically modified soybeans,
recently told local media that people who consume soy oil made with genetically
modified soybeans ‘are more vulnerable to developing tumors and suffering
sterility’ (in
Chinese).”
Yesterday’s
update noted that, “Experts were quick to call Mr. Wang’s methodology into
question, with several noting that he had failed to present even a
scintilla of laboratory evidence linking GMO soy oil with cancer or
fertility problems. But in a country already deeply suspicious of genetically
modified crops, social media users took the idea and ran with it,
sending fear over carcinogenic oil seeping through the Chinese Internet.”
CFTC-
Commodity Futures Trading Commission
Jamila Trindle and Damian Paletta reported in today’s Wall Street Journal
that, “The head of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is proposing to
partially delay controversial cross-border derivatives rules slated to go into
effect Friday, according to people familiar with the negotiations.
“The
move is an about-face for CFTC Chairman Gary Gensler, who previously refused to delay a
requirement that U.S. banks operating abroad comply with U.S. swaps rules,
despite mounting pleas from fellow commissioners, lawmakers and overseas policy
makers. Mr. Gensler now is floating a
compromise that would implement some provisions
almost immediately and delay others until the end of the year,
said the people familiar with the negotiations.
“The agency
may vote as soon as Friday on the rules, which require that firms trading
derivatives hold more capital and post collateral to a clearinghouse that
secures the deal.”
Immigration
AP
writer John Flesher reported
yesterday that, “For northern Michigan fruit grower Pat McGuire,
the most potent symbol of the immigration debate isn’t grainy
television footage showing people slipping furtively across the U.S.-Mexican
border. Instead, it’s plump red cherries and crisp apples rotting on
the ground because there aren’t enough workers to pick them — a
scenario that could become reality over the next couple of months.”
The AP
article stated that, “From Christmas tree growers in the Appalachians to
Wisconsin dairy farmers and producers of California’s diverse abundance of
fruits and vegetables, agricultural leaders are pleading with Congress
for an immigration bill that includes more lenient and less complex rules for hiring
farm workers.
“A measure
that recently cleared the Democratic-led Senate contained provisions that
the farm lobby said were promising. The Republican-controlled House is
expected to take up the issue shortly. But with agriculture’s once-mighty political
influence in decline as its workforce has fallen to 2 percent of the
population, it’s uncertain how the industry will fare. Farmers’
complaints about a shrinking labor pool are being overshadowed by the
ideologically charged issues of border security and giving legal status to
people in the country illegally.”
Sara
Murray reported in today’s Wall Street Journal that, “After four years
of on-and-off negotiations, a bipartisan group in the House has crafted more
than 500 pages of new immigration legislation.
“But
whether that measure sees the light of day—and whether it gains any momentum—is
an open question.
“More
than a week after the Senate passed its own sweeping bill, House Republicans
will gather Wednesday to debate their approach to an immigration overhaul.
Many are resisting the idea of passing a comprehensive measure similar to the
Senate’s. Instead, some House leaders and rank-and-file Republicans are
advocating a piecemeal approach, biting off individual elements of
the immigration equation and passing narrow deals.”
--
Keith Good
President
FarmPolicy.com, Inc.
Champaign, IL
(t) 217.356.2269
FarmPolicy.com is a FREE newsletter and is made possible by the generous
support of McLeod, Watkinson & Miller-
Attorneys at Law.
To subscribe to the FarmPolicy.com Email, send a note to, farmpolicy-on@list.farmpolicy.com.
To unsubscribe, send a note to, farmpolicy-off@list.farmpolicy.com.
For instant updates, follow me on
twitter.
|
June 28
|
Farm
Bill; and, the Agricultural Economy- Tuesday
Posted
By Keith Good On July 2, 2013
Farm
Bill
Erik
Wasson reported yesterday at The Hill’s On the Money Blog that, “The
leader of a House GOP effort to split the $1 trillion farm
bill into pieces said Monday that he is gaining confidence his effort
can succeed.
“Rep. Marlin
Stutzman (R-Ind.) told Tea Party activists
from Americans for Prosperity that his colleagues are rallying behind the idea.
“‘I am
finding a lot of interest for separation of the bill,’ he said.”
Mr. Wasson
noted that, “When pressed, Stutzman did not outline
specific, additional food stamp or farm subsidy cuts that he is seeking. He
praised the cuts to direct payments in the committee bill and talked of
addressing overhead and delivery costs for food stamps.
“‘It’s not
that we want to take food away from people. We have a food stamp delivery problem,’
he said.”
The Hill
article added that, “Food stamp advocate Bob Greenstein of The
Center for Budget and Policy Priorities said Monday that failing to
reauthorize food stamps could make the program vulnerable to cuts during the
annual appropriations process.
“‘I think
that’s a short term gain but puts the whole program in greater political
danger,’ he said. ‘We would actually recommend defeat of any stand-alone
farm bill.’
“Greenstein
said that many rural GOP lawmakers may resist the Stutzman
push because once the farm subsidies are divorced from food stamps, they
will be a
the mercy of GOP budget cutters.”
Emma
Dumain reported yesterday at Roll Call
Online that, “Splitting up the farm bill into two pieces won’t be enough to
appease the Club for Growth, one of the conservative interest groups that
claimed credit for the
farm bill’s surprise defeat on the House floor last month.
“‘Splitting
up the Farm Bill is a good first step, but just splitting a bad bill
into two pieces doesn’t suddenly make either piece better,’ said Barney
Keller, a spokesman for the Club for Growth, in an email statement to CQ Roll
Call on Monday afternoon. ‘Instead, Republicans should put farm subsidies on a
path to elimination and devolve food stamps to the states,
where they belong.’”
Meanwhile, Will
Beaton reported yesterday at the Grand Forks Herald (N.D.) Online
that, “U.S. Rep. Collin Peterson said changes to food
stamps sabotaged a new Farm Bill in the House of Representatives, but
he is pushing for new legislation.
“Dozens of
area residents gathered Monday at the University of Minnesota-Crookston campus
to visit with politicians about the Farm Bill, which was recently voted down in
the House.
“Peterson,
D-Minn., and Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn.,
gave the crowd an update about the bill and answered questions from the
audience.”
The article
noted that, “‘It’s a mess,’ Peterson, who voted for the House version of
the bill.”
“‘We had
the votes to pass this bill,’ said Peterson. ‘People blew it up on
purpose.’
“Last
minute additions to the bill involving the Supplemental Nutrition
Assistance Program (SNAP), which provides food stamps to needy citizens, were
among biggest concerns to those who voted against the bill.”
The Grand
Forks Herald article added that, “‘If they split the bill, I will vote
against the food stamp part of it,’ said Peterson.
“However, he
believes that splitting the bill is not the right option, because the farm
legislation may still not pass.”
An update yesterday at
WDAZ Television (Grand Forks, N.D.) Online, which included a two-minute news
video, indicated that, “U.S. Congressman Collin Peterson says
getting a new farm bill pasted has been like a four year nightmare.
Peterson and U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar were
in Crookston today to meet with those working in the Ag Industry about the
sticky point on getting a bill passed.”
“Peterson
told those at the meeting there is now work being done to spilt the
farm bill, making the farm programs separate from the nutrition programs, but
he says that might make it even tougher to get a bill to pass,” the update
said.
An audio
replay of the WDAZ video report can
be heard here (MP3- 2:00).
Christopher
Doering reported yesterday at The Des Moines
Register Online that, “The U.S. House plans to take up another farm bill this
month, but Republican leaders are still reviewing what the legislation
should ultimately look like to ensure they have the votes they need to pass it,
Rep. Steve King [R., Iowa] said in an interview.”
“‘We’re
going to take a bill up in July,’ said King. ‘We don’t know what
it’s going to be yet but we’re going to take another stab at it.’”
Mr. Doering indicated that, “King said ultimately he doesn’t
see breaking up the farm bill as a pathway forward. ‘I don’t think that
there is support for splitting it,’ he said, adding that it is an idea he
does not support. ‘I think leadership needs to go through that deliberation
process and if they do that they’re likely to come to a similar conclusion that
I have.’”
And Jim
Krencik reported yesterday at The Daily News
(Batavia, NY.) Online that, “Amid a far-ranging conversation with Orleans
County officials, Rep. Chris Collins [R., N.Y.] detailed plans
for a halved-version of the previously voted-down farm bill to
be passed by the House of Representatives this month.
“According
to Collins, the modified bill would split farm-specific legislation
from legislation changing the funding level for federal nutrition aid to
low-income families and individuals. Collins told 25 attendees of a Coffee with
Chris event at
Tillman’s Village Inn Saturday that he and a majority of House
members would support the farm-only bill, which contains reforms to crop
insurance and continuations of agricultural assistance programs.
“‘We
will, I promise, pass a Farm Bill by August,’ said Collins, who echoed his
optimism at an event later Saturday in Ridgeway.”
Also
yesterday, Chris
Clayton reported at the DTN Ag Policy Blog that, “Rep. Tom
Latham, a Republican whose western Iowa district was reshaped due to
redistricting, has been a member of Congress from the state since being elected
in 1994. In his 19 years and two redistricting cycles, Latham has represented
roughly two thirds of the state.
“Latham and
Iowa Secretary of Agriculture Bill Northey are
touring southwest Iowa this week, which gave me [Clayton] a chance to ask Latham
what he has been hearing on the farm bill and what direction the debate will go
when Congress returns from break next week.
“‘We’re
getting input. Everybody wants to get it done, like I do,’ Latham said Monday.
‘The Speaker is committed to getting a bill passed in July so that’s what
we’re looking forward to, so we get it through conference in August and get it
done in September,’ Latham said.”
The DTN
update noted that, “‘I’m not sure you pass either section of it, as a stand alone’ (bill), Latham said. ‘I think it would be
very difficult to get enough support, certainly for the food stamps by
themselves. A lot of the urban folks in the House of Representatives probably
would not be supportive of just the farm section of it by itself. So I
don’t know how you pass it without what used to be the coalition of the urban
folks with the food programs and the aggies.’
“‘The
reason it is getting some traction is just trying to find a sweet spot on the
food stamps and on the ag policy has been difficult
with the vote we had so they are looking at all options trying
to find a way to move a bill so we can find a way to get to conference,’ Latham
said. ‘Technically, if you pass the food-stamp portion then you could
conference with the Senate on a larger bill with the farm policy also in that.’
“Latham
said he doesn’t know what the strategy will be at this point. ‘There could
be changes. The Southerland amendment, we may need to have that
removed. There are different ways of going about it, certainly, that
would help us get more votes.’”
The
“Washington Insider” section of DTN noted in part yesterday (link
requires subscription) that, “[R]ep. Peter
Roskam, R, Ill., told the press that the House
leadership might be helped by the Independence Day recess because some members
who voted against the bill are ‘starting to realize the political effects that
could have on farm-state Republicans. I think there were some members
who voted no, but when they reflected back and heard how important this
actually was to their own members, I think they may come at it with a different
position.’
“So, the
smart money seems to on a ‘clean bill’ option that would strip the ‘poison pill’
amendments and try again. At the same time, there are lingering doubts that
the deep-seated opposition to the Nutrition programs held by many House members
can be overcome by yet another trip home. An example widely cited is the House
committee and subcommittee chairman who got their favorite amendments passed,
but still opposed the bill on the final vote.”
Charles
Lane indicated in a column published in today’s Washington Post that,
“House Republicans want to cut SNAP by at least $20 billion over the
next decade, and Democrats want to preserve it pretty much as
is. The dispute sent the 2013 farm bill — legislation in which SNAP has
traditionally been twinned with subsidies for farmers — down to an unexpected
defeat last month.
“Fortunately,
there is a solution. Abolish food stamps, on one condition: Congress
would have to distribute the SNAP budget among other programs for the poor, for
which many SNAP recipients also qualify.
“The result
would be a safety net as generous as today’s but considerably more efficient
and transparent — and without the Faustian linkage to subsidies for
agribusiness.”
Mr. Lane
noted that, “Supporters hail SNAP as a key income support for the working poor,
seniors and the disabled, as well as an ‘automatic stabilizer’ that bolsters
demand during economic downturns and then recedes during recoveries.
“That’s
true — but the government already has programs, and bureaucracies, for
each of those groups and policy goals. For example, a third of the seniors
living on food stamps also get Supplemental Security Income (SSI).
“And unlike
food stamps, the other programs — SSI, the earned-income tax credit,
unemployment insurance — deliver benefits in the form most poor people find
most useful: cash.
“Reallocating
the SNAP budget to beef up the rest of the safety net would also eliminate food
stamps as a perennial political target.”
More broadly
on the current political environment in the House, an update
yesterday at the NBC News “First Read” webpage pointed out that, “When
it comes to productivity, only 15
legislative items have become law under the current Congress. That’s
fewer than the 23
items that became law at this same point in the 112th Congress, which
passed a historically low number of bills that were signed into law. These
numbers might not be surprising given the legislative stalemates so far this
year — on the sequester, the farm bill, and student
loans.”
Also, Gerald
F. Seib noted yesterday at The Wall Street
Journal Online that, “Many House Republicans—particularly the
younger freshmen and sophomore members who now make up a stunning 46% of the
caucus—don’t much care what conventional wisdom says they should do. They
are happy to rock the boat.”
And Juan
Williams indicated yesterday at The Hill Online that, “Democrats are
bashing Boehner too: ‘If he were a woman, they’d be
calling him the weakest speaker in history,’ said his predecessor, House
Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.). She explained that
the House GOP majority led by Boehner ‘are not able to get anything done.’”
In other
news, an item in the July edition
of Amber Waves (USDA- Economic Research Service) by Alisha
Coleman-Jensen (“Food
Insecurity Increased in Most States From 2001 to 2011”) stated that,
“As the 2007-09 Great Recession and its accompanying higher unemployment took
its toll on U.S. families, food insecurity at the national level
increased. In 2011, 14.9 percent of U.S. households were food
insecure—up from 10.7 percent in 2001. Food-insecure households are those
that were, at times, unable to provide adequate food for one or more household
members due to insufficient money or other resources for food. States
differed both in the percentage of households that were food
insecure and in the change in that prevalence rate during the period. Changes
in food security may signal worsening or improving economic conditions in a
State or shifts in the composition of a State’s population.”
In more
specific policy news relating to animal agriculture, an update
yesterday at the National Sustainable Agriculture Coalition Blog
indicated that, “Late last week, Senator Dianne Feinstein introduced
legislation to limit the use of antibiotics in livestock production.
If enacted, the ‘Preventing
Antibiotic Resistance Act of 2013’ would direct the Food and Drug
Administration (FDA) to restrict the use of antibiotics critical to human
health in livestock production unless they are used to treat clinically
diagnosable diseases. The bill, co-sponsored by Barbara
Boxer (D-CA), Maria Cantwell (D-WA), Susan
Collins (R-ME), and Jack Reed (D-RI), would also
require drug companies and livestock producers to demonstrate they are
using the drugs to treat sick animals.”
And DTN Ag
Policy Editor Chris Clayton reported yesterday (link
requires subscription) that, “The president of the Humane Society of
the United States [Wayne Pacelle] says
Congress is blocking a commonsense solution to providing certainty for
the egg industry, and it’s costing votes in getting the farm bill passed.”
The DTN
article explained that, “Pacelle is still smarting
from a setback for his organization in the farm bill debate as both the House
and Senate Agriculture Committees declined to take up a bill stemming from an
agreement struck between HSUS and the United Egg Producers. Since 2011, the two
groups have been championing the Egg
Products Inspection Act that would create a national standard
for the treatment of egg-laying hens.
“The U.S.
egg industry is a $6 billion industry. Pacelle noted
several major egg trade associations, consumer groups and veterinarians all
back the egg bill.
“‘The egg
industry deserves a vote and we deserve a vote on this issue,’ Pacelle said. ‘It’s clear at this point Congress is
jeopardizing this agreement and jeopardizing the future of the egg industry and
all of the farmers involved with it.’”
Mr. Clayton
noted that, “Yet, one of the reasons for proposing national standards comes as
an unintended consequence of a Humane Society win in California. Proposition 2
in 2008 created new confinement requirements for laying hens, veal calves and
breeding hogs to provide each with the ability to stand up, turn around and
extend their limbs. The proposition goes into effect Jan. 1, 2015. After it was
passed, the California Legislature passed a law that applied Proposition 2
standards to sales, including eggs. So for a company to sell eggs in
California beginning in 2015, it would have to meet the same standards for
laying hens.”
Yesterday’s
article added that, “Rather than adhere to the rules of Prop 2, the House farm
bill instead
has an interstate commerce provision crafted by Rep. Steve
King, R-Iowa. The provision would prevent any state from banning
food products produced in another state that meets USDA or Food and Drug
Administration guidelines. It would effectively undercut Prop 2, but it
also is opposed by lawmakers for the possible impacts that King’s provision
could have in eliminating other state laws as well.
“‘I don’t
think King survives. I think people realize it’s a radical overreach. I don’t
think it survives at the end of the day. (Senate Ag Chairwoman Debbie) Stabenow
is against it. A lot of people are against it.’
“Despite
the lack of support from House Ag Committee leaders and Republicans, Pacelle said he believes the egg amendment would
have won if it had gotten a vote on the floor.”
In other
news, Thomas
M. Burton reported in today’s Wall Street Journal that, “The Obama administration
has missed a deadline for issuing congressionally mandated rules on imported
foods—a delay highlighted by a U.S. outbreak of hepatitis A cases linked to
Turkish pomegranate seeds.”
The Journal
article noted that, “Under the proposed rule, an importer would need to
ascertain whether farms and processors overseas are taking steps to cut or
eliminate risks at its facilities. The FDA would then inspect records and work
with its counterparts overseas to confirm standards were met. About 15%
of food consumed in the U.S. is imported, including about 80% of seafood and
30% of produce. The FDA has made other new food-safety rules public, such
as one for produce.
“The
White House Office of Management and Budget declined to say when it might
finish vetting the import rule, which was due to go into effect this January.
The office’s website that states it ‘has not yet quantified the cost and
benefits’ of the import rule, which it said might impose ‘significant’ burdens
and affect about 60,000 importers. A spokeswoman said the office is committed
to food safety and has made steady progress in reducing the time rules spend
under review.”
Agricultural
Economy
University
of Illinois Agricultural Economist Darrel Good indicated
yesterday at the farmdoc daily blog
(“Corn
and Soybean Market Prospects Following USDA Reports”) that, “The
USDA’s June 1 Grain Stocks and Acreage reports contained
estimates that were generally as expected for soybeans, but both reports
contained surprises for corn. The estimates were friendly for old
crop price prospects, but negative for new crop prices, at least in the short
run.”
After
specific analysis, yesterday’s update noted that, “The June 1 stocks estimates
for corn and soybeans confirmed very small inventories and the need to continue
to limit consumption until new crop supplies are available. As a result, old
crop corn and soybean cash prices are expected to be well supported through the
summer months. There is considerably more uncertainty about new crop
production and price prospects. We expect planted and harvested acreage of
both crops to be less than revealed in the June survey. However,
production will be influenced more by yield prospects than by acreage estimates.
The period for determining yields is just beginning, with July and
August weather critical for both crops. Based on current crop condition ratings
and near term weather forecasts,prospects
for yields likely exceed current market expectations, particularly for corn. If weekly
condition ratings remain high, new crop prices are expected to remain
under pressure.”
And Brad
Plumer reported yesterday at the WonkBlog (Washington Post) that, “Crop yields have
been steadily improving since the advent of synthetic fertilizer and modern
agricultural techniques. So those yields will just need to keep
improving in the years to come.
“But
there’s a big problem: This isn’t happening. Or at least,
it’s not happening fast enough. A recent peer-reviewed
study in the journal PLOS ONE found that crop yields
haven’t been rising at a sufficient pace to meet projected demand by 2050. Here’s
the key graph.”
The Post
update noted that, “The study takes a careful look at historical improvements
in crop yields for corn, rice, wheat and soybeans. As you can see, yields per
acre have been growing fairly constantly in all four areas. The solid lines
show what would happen if this growth continued.
“And it’s
not enough. The dashed lines above show how productivity would need to grow
even more rapidly for the world to satisfy expected demand and
double global food production by 2050 in a sustainable manner, without
razing more forests for farmland. ‘Current rates,’ the authors note, ‘are
not achieving this goal.’”
In trade developments, Stephen
Castle and Eric Schmitt reported in yesterday’s New York Times that,
“European officials and politicians reacted angrily on Sunday to reports that
the United States has been spying on its European Union allies, saying the
claims could threaten impending talks with Washington on an important trade
agreement.”
The Times
article stated that, “The United States and the European Union are scheduled to
begin talks on a trans-Atlantic trade agreement over the summer and to complete
them by November 2014. Those talks would be threatened by the
espionage revelations, according to Viviane Reding,
the European Union’s commissioner for justice.
“‘We cannot
negotiate over a big trans-Atlantic market if there is the slightest doubt that
our partners are carrying out spying activities on the offices of our
negotiators,’ Ms. Reding said at a meeting in
Luxembourg on Sunday. ‘The American authorities should eliminate any such doubt
swiftly.’”
AP
writer Tom Raum reported yesterday that, “Even before the
latest disclosures, talks at the upcoming free-trade sessions were expected to
be fragile, with disagreements surfacing over which items should be covered
or excluded from an agreement. The United States has said there should be no
exceptions. But France has called for exempting certain cultural products, and
other Europeans do not appear eager to give up longtime agricultural subsidies.
“[Pres. Obama] said
the Europeans ‘are some of the closest allies that we have in the world.’ But
he added, ‘I guarantee you that in European capitals, there are people who are
interested in, if not what I had for breakfast, at least what my talking points
might be should I end up meeting with their leaders. That’s how
intelligence services operate.’”
--
Keith Good
President
FarmPolicy.com, Inc.
Champaign, IL
(t) 217.356.2269
FarmPolicy.com is a FREE newsletter and is made possible by the generous
support of McLeod, Watkinson & Miller-
Attorneys at Law.
To subscribe to the FarmPolicy.com Email, send a note to, farmpolicy-on@list.farmpolicy.com.
To unsubscribe, send a note to, farmpolicy-off@list.farmpolicy.com.
For instant updates, follow me on
twitter.
|
June 28
|
Farm
Bill; Ag Economy; Regulations; and, Immigration- Monday
Posted
By Keith Good On July 1, 2013
Farm
Bill
Erik
Wasson reported on Friday at The Hill’s On the Money Blog that, “Congress
has left Washington for the 10-day Fourth of July holiday without figuring out
how to deal with the failed farm bill.
“House
Democratic and Republican sources said they expect a decision shortly
after the recess ends.
“Agriculture
Committee ranking member Collin Peterson (D-Minn.) said the
GOP whip count on a split farm bill had not finished as of
Friday afternoon.”
Mr. Wasson
explained that, “Peterson said that he had ‘no idea’ how a House-Senate farm
bill conference would work if the House passed a farm bill
without food stamp changes in it. He said that the Senate would likely feel
entitled to ignore any House demands for additional cuts to the program.
“The
ranking member said he has not yet decided whether he would
vote for the split farm bill or whether he would whip support for it.
“The fate
of the farm bill is holding up consideration of a 2014
Agriculture appropriations spending bill that has already gone to the Rules
Committee.”
The Hill
update noted that, “Sources said the 2014 spending bill was on the back burner
because it would attract the same type of amendment debate that plagued the
farm bill and there would be no reason to stir the pot until the bigger $940
billion bill’s fate is figured out.”
Rep. Kristi
Noem (R., S.D.) indicted on Friday in
a column at the Rapid City Journal Online that, “The next step is
unclear, but I remain committed to passing this Farm Bill and remain
hopeful we will be able to regroup in the coming days. We need to figure out a
way to bring a bipartisan majority of the House together in
support of this bill.”
Bloomberg
writers Derek
Wallbank and Alan Bjerga reported
late last week that, “Food assistance has been part of farm legislation since
1977, when Jimmy Carter was president, marrying the interests
of urban and rural lawmakers. Since then, the number of participants in what’s
officially called the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program has more than
doubled to more than 47 million from 17 million, while the ranks
of rural lawmakers has declined, making them more dependent on
representatives of urban districts with needy constituents to back farm
subsidies.
“Mounting
federal debt has brought fresh scrutiny to both types of aid, as agriculture
profits are projected to reach a record $128.2 billion this year and food-stamp
costs more than doubled from 2008 to $78.4 billion last year.
The House Republican Study Committee, the party’s largest caucus,
has pushed leaders to treat the issues separately, as has a coalition of
small-government groups that consider food-assistance and crop-subsidy spending
wasteful.”
And, Dale
Denwalt reported last week at the Enid News
and Eagle (Okla.) Online that, “[House Ag Committee Chairman Frank
Lucas], R-Cheyenne, said Speaker John Boehner and
Majority Leader Eric Cantor are looking at all the
options.
“‘One of
those is the concept of splitting the bill into a nutrition title and basically
everything else, the farm bill, staying in a separate bill,’ he said. ‘My
personal prospective is the coalition has been successful in the past for 50
years almost for addressing these issues at the same time. But if
leadership chooses to go the route of two separate bills, then of course I’ll
be supportive.’”
An update
on Friday at a Heritage Foundation blog noted that, “Splitting up the
bill is the first step toward reforming both food stamp and farm spending.”
Rep. Marlin
Stutzman (R., Ind.) tweeted on Friday that,
“It’s time to #SplitTheBill & have a real
farm-only #farmbill.”
On the
other hand, National Farmers Union President Roger Johnson noted
on Friday that, “Separating farm programs from nutrition programs
and proposing two bills would be a huge mistake. The likely
result would be to kill the bill. This will allow Congress to continue to
take no action to provide certainty to U.S. family farmers, ranchers, rural
residents and those who depend on the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program
(SNAP).”
Also, Chris
Casteel reported on Friday at The Oklahoman (Okla. City) Online that,
“Republican leaders might commit ‘political malpractice’ if
they separate food stamps from farm policy to move the
critical legislation through the House, Rep. Tom Cole said
Friday.
“‘Count
me as skeptical of that strategy,’ said Cole, R-Moore.”
The article
pointed out that, “Cole said that separating the two components would be
a high-risk move, particularly since both parts likely would be shaped
to satisfy the most conservative wing of the House Republican conference.
Even if they passed the House, he said, they ultimately would have to be
reconciled with the farm bill passed by the Senate, where Democrats
are in the majority and object to major cuts to food stamps.
“Cole
said House GOP leaders should defer to Lucas on strategy because of the
Oklahoman’s expertise in agriculture and the House politics of farm bills.”
In
other Farm Bill news, Zack
McDonald, writing on Saturday at The News Herald (Panama City, Fla.) Online,
provided additional perspective on the “Southerland amendment,” a measure that
was added to the Farm Bill near the end of the House floor debate that dealt
with work requirements and the SNAP program. Some have noted that
this amendment may have been the breaking point for many Democrats when it came
to voting for the final passage of the Farm Bill.
The News
Herald article indicated that, “Southerland’s amendment to the Federal
Agriculture Reform and Risk Management (FARRM) Act allowed states to
apply federal welfare work requirements to the food-stamp program. Most
adults who receive or apply for Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program
(SNAP) — including those who support children through the program — would
be required to work or participate in a work or training program for at least
20 hours a week to receive SNAP benefits.”
Mr.
McDonald added that, “Southerland said the amendment’s work requirements would
only apply to ‘able-bodied people’ and states would determine the criteria
for an ‘able-bodied status.’ He argued the work amendment would not keep
disabled, elderly or children from benefits of state food programs. Southerland
also said the amendment was ‘very liberal’ in its approach to the definition of
work, including training, looking for work or volunteering.
“‘The point
is, people are producing a result not just in their own best interest, but in
the best interest of the community,’ Southerland said. ‘And
what we are doing to people who have never known work — we are doing a great
injustice by not showing them the empowering element in having some say in your
future through the gift of work.’”
Chris
Cillizza noted in today’s Washington Post
that, “Politics is a team sport. Except the way House Republicans
have played it for the past few years…[T]he farm bill was perhaps most
illustrative of the lack of team spirit in the House GOP. Among the 62
Republicans who voted against the bill, five were committee chairmen —
positions they hold thanks to the very party leaders they bucked in voting
‘no.’
“‘We
have younger members [who] seem incapable of following and who constantly make
the perfect the enemy of the good,’ explained one GOP lawmaker, who spoke
candidly on the condition of anonymity. ‘We have chairmen
. . . who seem to think they
have no obligation to the majority that gave them gavels or even to their
fellow chairmen.’”
In a
related article on Speaker Boehner’s leadership style, Paul
Kane and David A. Fahrenthold reported over
the weekend at The Washington Post Online that, “Never — ever — is there a
sense of real anger from the Ohio Republican [Speaker Boehner]. His
leadership style does not involve rapping knuckles, breaking arms or even
threatening to rap knuckles or break arms. He has sworn off intimidation
and punishment, in a House that has rarely been run on anything else.
“As a
result, Boehner has allowed rank-and-file Republicans more freedom to
vote their will, with him or against him, than any speaker in modern times.”
The Post
article added that, “The speaker’s inner circle contends that not only does
he have the right approach with his raucous caucus, but also that it is the
only one that might work. Many House Republicans first won election in 2010
or 2012, and almost certainly ran on a pledge of transparency and against
backroom deals, usually citing Obama’s health-care reform as Exhibit A of a bad
legislative process.
“With
pledges like that, a top-down style probably would cost Boehner his job, said
Rep. Patrick J. Tiberi (R-Ohio), who
is close to the speaker. ‘I don’t think it would work on the Republican
side. Not with the dynamics of where the Republican Party is today, with its
decentralized approach.’”
Separately,
on the dairy issue, AP writer M.L.
Johnson reported on Friday that, “Dairy farmers expressed frustration
this week with Congress’ failure to pass a farm bill, saying the
uncertainty made it hard to do business and some could go under without changes
to the federal milk program.
“Farmers
also worried that if a current nine-month extension of the 2008 farm bill
expires with no action, a 64-year-old law will kick in, sending milk prices
spiraling. While that might provide short-term profits, they say, it’d hurt
them in the long run because no one wants to buy milk at $6 a gallon.”
The article
noted that, “Wisconsin farmers grow more of their own feed than those in states
like California, the nation’s top milk producer. Dean Strauss, 41, who milks
1,900 cows in Sheboygan Falls, said growing 3,000 acres of feed
provides some protection from high feed prices but doesn’t reduce the need for
a new farm bill, which would likely have better crop insurance programs.”
Marcia
Zarley Taylor reported on Friday at the DTN
Minding Ag’s Business Blog that, “[Rep. Ron Kind (D., Wis.)]
charged more reforms are needed for crop insurance, arguing that the
‘government guarantees a 14% profit for insurance companies
with virtually no risk to the companies, while paying 100% of administrative
and operating expenses.’ His amendment, which was narrowly defeated, would have
curbed underwriting gains and agent commissions; established a limit of $50,000
in subsidies to any person (about 1,100 acre Iowa corn grower or 2,000 acre
Kansas wheat grower); and also required anyone with gross sales over $250,000
to pay unsubsidized insurance rates on policy coverage. Other provisions would
have required USDA to make certain crop insurance claims public information.
“Rick
Gibson, a consultant for NAU Country Insurance and one of the executives
who pioneered revenue-based crop insurance in the 1990s, questions
Kind’s premise and has encouraged agents to rebut it.
“The charge
that the insurance industry is guaranteed a profit ‘just isn’t true,’ he says.
‘If we were guaranteed a profit, how did we lose money last year?’”
The DTN
item stated that, “The industry and USDA are still counting losses from the
Great Drought of 2012, he notes. It’s made complicated because each
company has a different loss sharing agreement. Estimates vary but some believe
that private industry could lose $3 billion to $5 billion, he says.
“Crop
insurance companies also lost money in 1983, 1984, 1988, 1993 and
2002, according to the National Crop Insurance Services. It claims that is in
sharp contrast to providers of everyday property and casualty insurance, which
have only lost money once over the past 50 years. That loss was in 2001—the
year of the 9-11 attacks.”
And in
other news, Al
Kamen reported on Friday at The Washington
Post Online that, “The White House cranked out nominations this week for
ambassadorships and some top sub-Cabinet jobs… Krysta Harden
, chief of staff at the
Department of Agriculture and before that assistant secretary for congressional
relations, was nominated to be the department’s deputy secretary…and… Robert
Bonnie, a senior policy adviser at the Agriculture Department and before
that a longtime official at the Environmental Defense Fund, got the nod to be
the department’s undersecretary for natural resources and environment.”
Agricultural
Economy
Emiko
Terazono and Jack Farchy reported
on Friday at The Financial Times Online that, “New crop corn prices to be
harvested later this year fell sharply as US farmers planted the largest
acreage of the commodity since 1936, despite a wet, cold spring that
delayed fieldwork.
“Although
farmers had been expected to plant record levels of both corn and soyabeans in response to last year’s surge in prices
brought on by the drought, there had been uncertainty over the scale of new
plantings this year due to poor weather.”
The FT
writers added that, “The latest release from
the US Department of Agriculture showed that the planted area for corn totalled 97.4m acres, the highest figure since
1936 when an estimated 102m acres were planted. The
number was 2m acres, or 2 per cent, higher than
analysts’ forecasts of around 95m acres, and up marginally from last year’s
97.2m acres.
“The
data took analysts and traders, who were expecting the planting numbers to fall
rather than rise, by surprise.”
Owen
Fletcher and Jeffrey Sparshott reported in
Saturday’s Wall Street Journal that, “The forecast suggests that U.S. corn
supplies could increase sharply if summer weather is favorable for the nation’s
crop. Last year, a severe U.S. drought battered the Farm Belt, sending corn
prices to a record $8.3125 a bushel on Aug. 21. But futures have fallen since
then due to tepid demand from foreign importers and expectations that the U.S.
could produce a record crop this fall.
“The USDA
said corn supplies as of June 1 totaled 2.76 billion bushels.
That marked the lowest level in 16 years and was below
analysts’ forecast of 2.86 billion bushels, but traders focused instead on the
fact that the government didn’t reduce projected corn acreage.
“The
government also raised its estimate of planted soybean acreage to a record 77.7
million acres this year, up 1% from last year but still shy of expectations.
Analysts expected the USDA to estimate this year’s domestic soybean plantings
at 78.02 million acres, in part on the view that farmers unable to plant corn
would switch to soybeans, which have a later growing season.”
On Friday,
University of Illinois Agricultural Economist Darrel Good provided analysis
and perspective on the reports from USDA in an interview with Todd
Gleason of University of Illinois Extension; a replay of their
discussion can be heard
here (MP3- 4:55).
Regulations
Ben
Goad reported on Friday at The Hill’s RegWatch
Blog that, “House Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman Fred Upton and
a pair of the panel’s subcommittee chairmen called
Friday for an investigation into the Environmental Protection
Agency’s alleged ‘sue and settle tactics.’
“The EPA
has come under fire from conservatives, who question agency lawsuit settlements
that trigger new regulations. Critics
say the practice allows environmental groups to coerce the agency into
setting policy as a result of the litigation.
“Upton (R-Mich.),
along with Reps. Tim Murphy (R-Pa.) and Ed Whitfield (R-Ky.),
are requesting that the Government Accountability Office (GAO) launch a probe
into the practice, saying they are worried about the decisions being made
behind closed doors.”
The New
York Times editorial
board indicated today that, “President Obama’s new regulatory agenda
on climate change will face inevitable legal and political challenges. But in
all fields — not just energy and the environment but health, safety and labor
— one of the most formidable obstacles to reform has been the
administration’s own resistance to finalizing new rules, even when it has
expressed support for the causes those rules would address.
“Recently, 136
draft rules from executive agencies were under review at the White House’s
Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, or OIRA, a branch of the
Office of Management and Budget. Of them, 72 have been held up for longer than
the 90-day limit set by executive order, and of those, 38 have languished for
more than a year, including 24 from 2011 and three from 2010.”
The Times
noted that, “In January 2011, Mr. Obama signed a major food-safety law.
But three rules to implement the law, submitted to OIRA by the Food and
Drug Administration in November 2011, are still not completed. Two of them,
on produce safety and food-related illness prevention, got preliminary
clearance from OIRA in January, which allows the F.D.A. to resume work on them
before resubmitting them to OIRA for final review. A third rule, to enhance the
safety of imported food, has not budged.”
“At the end
of the day, what the public needs most is not just a more
timely and transparent review process but a president unafraid
of Republicans or corporate interests and determined to enact his regulatory
agenda,” the Times said.
Immigration
Janet
Hook reported in today’s Wall Street Journal that, “For all the
battles in Congress over immigration, the issue isn’t likely to be a decisive
one in many individual campaigns for House seats in 2014, strategists for
both parties say.”
Ms. Hook
explained that, “With few House members of either party feeling pressure to
make any concessions, the politics of the House go a long way toward
explaining why the prospects for the legislation are uncertain as it moves to
the House from the Senate.
“Lawmakers
said Sunday it would be tough for the House to pass an
immigration plan, although backers held out hope for a final deal by the end of
the year.”
AP
writer Philip
Elliot reported yesterday that, “The Republican chairman of the House
Judiciary Committee [Bob Goodlatte (R.,
Va.)] said Sunday [on CNN's "State of the Union"] that any attempt at
comprehensive immigration legislation cannot offer a ‘special
pathway to citizenship’ for those in the United States illegally.”
The AP
article noted that, “Illustrating the strong opposition among conservative
lawmakers in the House, Rep. Trey Gowdy,
R-S.C., said flatly [on “Fox News Sunday”]: ‘The Senate bill is not going to
pass.’
“Bowing to
those pressures, House Republicans have said they would consider each
piece of immigration separately as they tried to navigate the
politically dicey subject that could complicate not only their efforts to
reclaim the White House but also thwart some incumbent GOP lawmakers’ attempt
to win re-election.
“House
Speaker John Boehner has ruled out taking up the Senate bill
and said the Republican-controlled chamber would chart its own version
of the legislation with a focus on border security.”
--
Keith Good
President
FarmPolicy.com, Inc.
Champaign, IL
(t) 217.356.2269
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|
June 28
|
Farm
Bill; Ag Econ; Regulations; and, Immigration- Friday
Posted
By Keith Good On June 28, 2013
Farm
Bill
David
Rogers reported yesterday at Politico that, “Moving further to the
right, the House Republican leadership is actively pursuing a strategy
of splitting its failed farm bill into two parts so that the nutrition
title and food stamps funding can be considered on their own.
“Majority
Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.) is driving the new approach, which
dovetails with the agenda of outside conservative groups. But Speaker John
Boehner’s office signaled Thursday that he also is open to the
two-bill strategy and a final decision will be made after the July Fourth
recess.
“‘We are
going with this play and see where it gets us,’ a senior leadership aide told
POLITICO. ‘We are trying to break the bill apart to get something to
conference with the Senate.’”
(Note that
in a news briefing yesterday with Speaker Boehner, the following
exchange took place, QUESTION: On the farm bill, do you support the — the
notion of splitting food stamps away from the [farm program] as a possible…?
“BOEHNER: There’s a lot of conversations going on about the
farm bill and a way forward. There have been no decisions” (Audio
clip.))
In his
Politico article, Mr. Rogers explained that, “Even if successful in getting out
of the House, the two-bill strategy raises real parliamentary problems
about what the scope of future House-Senate talks will be. Leadership aides
admitted some uncertainty as to whether negotiators will be able to meld the
two pieces back together again. And the commodity title of the
farm bill includes tariff provisions which make it technically a revenue
measure.
“For
Boehner and larger American agriculture interests, the two-bill approach
represents a major challenge: Do they allow themselves to be whittled
down more from the right or embrace a larger reform agenda that rebuilds the
old urban-rural coalition more from the middle?
“The food
stamps fight has dominated farm bill politics to date. But last week’s floor
debate also reflected a bipartisan appetite for more reforms in crop insurance
and international food aid — a path that could attract votes from both sides of
the aisle.”
Yesterday’s
article also noted that, “I told John, `We need to get
together and fix this, and the sooner the better,’” [Rep. Collin Peterson] told
POLITICO of his conversations with the speaker. Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-Ga.),
a friend of the speaker with a background in farm debates, may be enlisted in
the effort.
“Indeed
moving far to the right on the farm bill can become a trap for the speaker.
“It exposes
him to attacks from conservatives down the road, when the final House-Senate
conference report — which will almost certainly be a more centrist document
— comes back to the House floor.”
Mary Kay
Thatcher,
the Senior Director of Congressional Relations at the American Farm Bureau
pointed out yesterday on the AgriTalk radio program with Mike
Adams that, “But I think one thing you have to keep in mind is it’s
not just about passing it this time, it’s about making sure we have
enough votes to come back once it’s through conference and pass the House and
the Senate.”
Also, Emma
Dumain and Matt Fuller reported yesterday at
Roll Call Online that, “House Majority Leader Eric Cantor is
looking at splitting food stamps and farm programs in an effort to unite
Republicans to pass a farm bill so leadership doesn’t have to count on
Democratic votes.
“‘Cantor
believes the best path now is to move forward with a bill that has 218
Republican votes since Democrats proved they cannot be trusted to work in good
faith, and that path may be splitting up the bill,’ a GOP aide told CQ Roll
Call on Thursday morning.”
Corey
Boles reported yesterday at The Wall Street Journal Online that, “No
final decisions have been made on how to move a farm bill forward, the aide
said, but Mr. Cantor (R., Va.), who controls the House agenda, is pushing
for a vote by the full House in July after a one-week recess. Two senior
GOP leadership aides said decisions aren’t likely to be made until lawmakers
return from the Fourth of July break.”
Mr. Boles
indicated that, “[Rep. Marlin Stutzman (R.,
Ind.), an advocate for splitting the Farm Bill] said he had attended a meeting
between a group of conservative lawmakers and Mr. Cantor where the issue was discussed,
and had a one-on-one meeting with the majority leader on Thursday.”
The Journal
article added that, “Mr. Stutzman said that he
thought there would be 218 Republican votes—the minimum number needed to
approve legislation if every representative casts a vote—for a standalone bill
covering the core farm programs. But he acknowledged that food-stamps
funding would likely be cut substantially to get enough Republican support to
clear the House.”
Yesterday’s
article stated that, “Rep. Frank Lucas (R., Okla.), the House
Agriculture Committee chairman, who is the main author of the current farm bill
is strongly opposed to splitting food-stamps funding from the core farm
bill.
“‘When you
look at the so-called political activists groups on the East Coast—the paid
mercenaries—they don’t want a farm bill and that’s why they advocate for these
things because they see it as the best way to kill the farm safety net,’ Mr.
Lucas said Wednesday during
an interview with Radio Oklahoma Network.”
Bloomberg
writer Derek
Wallbank reported yesterday that, “The
largest House Republican caucus, the Republican
Study Committee, has been pushing leaders to treat the issues separately, a
position advocated by a coalition of small-government groups.
“‘We
should separate food stamps from what we call the commodity title,’ Budget
Chairman Paul Ryan, an RSC member, told
MSNBC on June 24.
The
Bloomberg article added that, “Senate Agriculture Chairman Debbie
Stabenow, Democrat of Michigan, has said a farm bill without food
stamps is a non-starter.”
Also, Erik
Wasson reported yesterday at The Hill’s On the Money Blog that,
“Conservative Rep. Steve King (R-Iowa) said he opposed
splitting the bill. He said that, heading into a conference with the
Senate, a combined bill is the only way to get Democrats to swallow any
food stamp cuts.
“‘What I
want from leaders is a plan to get 218 votes on a combined bill by the time we
leave here for July 4,’ he argued.”
In
addition, O.
Kay Henderson reported yesterday at RadioIowa
Online that, “Republican Congressman Steve King admits there’s a chance
congress cannot come up with a compromise on the Farm Bill.
“‘At
this point, I don’t know if we can do it,’ King says.”
Meanwhile, speaking
yesterday on WDWS Radio (AM- 1400, Champaign, Il.), Ag Committee Member Rodney
Davis (R., Il.) noted that, “I think, after talking with Chairman
Lucas yesterday, I think we’ll try and craft some minor
changes to this bill and go into a conference committee in good standing with a
good ability to find that common sense solution,” the freshman lawmaker
added that, “But we’ve got to get a bill out of the House to even be able to
sit down across the table and find that common sense solution.” (Related
audio here (MP3- 2:09)).
And on
yesterday’s AgriTalk radio program
with Mike Adams, Mary Kay Thatcher noted that, “So
I suspect in the end there will be a way to find one or two or three amendments
that could be jiggered, or new ones offered and accepted and this bill can pass.
But I don’t think we’ve figured out the vote counting yet. It’s really
not that big, Mike, you know. You’ve got some people who were already
[let] away, you know, saying, well, you can vote no. They promised to
vote yes on the bill if it came really close, but when it was defeated by [as
many] they let them go. So you probably only have to find 10 to
12 people to pass this.”
And with
respect to an extension, Ms. Thatcher stated on AgriTalk that,
“You know, Harry Reid said very forcefully, probably three
months ago now, that if there was another extension, it would not
include direct payments, so I think there was already pressure on the ag community to get something done, not necessarily because
of the direct payments, because everybody knows they’re going away, but because
without those direct payments you wouldn’t have the $5 billion a year to put
towards deficit reduction and to put towards building a viable safety net.”
In other
news, Sec. of Agriculture Tom Vilsack was a guest yesterday on
the “Morning Joe” television program (MSNBC) where he discussed
mostly nutrition issues, but also commented on the Farm Bill in response to
a question (video
replay here).
Sec.
Vilsack noted that one of the consequences of not getting a new Farm Bill
passed is the trade retaliation threat from Brazil that continues to loom due
to an adverse WTO decision, something that could potentially impact all sectors
of the economy, not just agriculture. Brazil has held
off on exercising this retaliatory option, but it does remain.
Sec.
Vilsack was also asked about the SNAP program.
This
portion of yesterday’s MSNBC interview can
be heard here (MP3- 1:12).
And Ben
Goad reported yesterday at The Hill’s RegWatch
Blog that, “Candy bars and Cokes will be replaced in school vending machines
around the country with fruit cups and calorie-free flavored water under new
snack standards unveiled Thursday.
“The
Department of Agriculture regulations apply to all food and drinks sold
to kids in school, outside of the national school breakfast and lunch
programs, which are already subject to new rules under the Healthy, Hunger-Free
Kids Act of 2010.” (Related
USDA video available here).
Stephanie
Strom reported in today’s New York Times that, “The law, supported by Michelle
Obama and drafted with an unusual level of cooperation between
nutrition advocates and the food industry, required the Agriculture Department
to set nutritional standards for all foods sold in schools.
“The
department had previously set the standards for fats, sugars and sodium in
meals prepared in schools, and the new rules bring other
foods under similar standards. When schools open in the fall of
2014, vending machines will have to be stocked with things like whole wheat
crackers, granola bars and dried fruits, instead of M&Ms, Cheese Nips and
gummy bears.”
Rep. Lee
Terry (R., Neb.) tweeted
yesterday that, “#Gatorade and sugary drinks and chips banned in
schools by @USDA. # nannystate.”
Meanwhile,
Government Accountability Office (GAO) testimony yesterday (“SCHOOL LUNCH: Modifications
Needed to Some of the New Nutrition Standards”) indicated that, “School
districts faced several challenges implementing the new lunch requirements in
school year 2012-2013, according to the eight districts GAO visited and
food service and industry officials GAO interviewed from across the country;
and the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) response to some of
these challenges has been limited. For example, because USDA
regulations restrict the amounts of meats and grains that can be served
in school lunches each week, all eight districts GAO visited needed to modify
or eliminate popular menu items. These changes sometimes led to
negative student reactions. The meat and grain restrictions also led
to smaller lunch entrees, making it difficult for some schools to meet
minimum calorie requirements for lunches without adding items, such as
gelatin, that generally do not improve the nutritional quality of lunches.”
Agricultural
Economy
Yesterday,
the USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service released its monthly Agricultural
Prices report, which stated in part that, “The corn price,
at $7.02 per bushel, is up 5 cents from last month and 65
cents above June 2012 [related
graph] …the soybean price, at $15.10 per
bushel, increased 20 cents from May and is $1.20 above June 2012 [related
graph] …and…the June price for all wheat, at $7.13 per
bushel, is down 55 cents from May but 43 cents higher than June 2012 [related
graph].”
Emiko
Terazono reported yesterday at The Financial
Times Online that, “Soyameal, the key
ingredient for feeding chickens and pigs, hit a seven-month high on
concerns over the low levels of soyabean inventories
in the aftermath of
last year’s severe drought.
“The meal,
produced from crushing soyabeans, is mixed with corn
to make animal feed.
“Despite
expectations of a bumper harvest later this year, prices for soyabeans and meal have remained high due to dwindling
stocks for the commodities for immediate delivery.”
The FT
article noted that, “Details on planting, stocks and usage are likely to become
clearer on Friday when the US Department of Agriculture publishes its
quarterly planting and stocks report.”
Ian Berry and Owen Fletcher reported
in today’s Wall Street Journal that, “Buoyed by strong consumer demand and
tight supplies, lean-hog prices have leapt 19% so far this year.”
The Journal
writers noted that, “The jump in prices
is helping hog farmers counteract higher costs for feed grains after last
summer’s severe U.S. drought, while meatpackers have been able to pass along the higher costs due to ample retail demand. Pork demand
has risen due to its lower price compared with beef, which hit record
prices at retail this spring.”
Today’s
article added that, “The rally in hog futures got a boost last month when Smithfield
Foods Inc., the world’s biggest pork processor and hog producer, agreed to
a $4.7 billion takeover by China’s Shuanghui
International Holdings Ltd., in what would be the biggest Chinese takeover
of a U.S. company. The deal led to
speculation that U.S. pork exports to China will rise if the deal is completed.
“Futures also have been lifted by tighter U.S. hog
supplies. Supplies often shrink this time of year due to the animals’ breeding
patterns—a trend accentuated by last summer’s heat in the Midwest, which curbed swine reproduction and resulted in fewer
pigs this year.”
Meanwhile,
USDA’s Economic Research Service released a report yesterday (“International Food Security Assessment, 2013-2023,”
by Birgit Meade and Stacey Rosen) which
noted that, “Food insecurity in the 76 low- and middle-income countries
examined in this report is expected to remain virtually unchanged between 2012
and 2013. By 2023, however, the number of food-insecure people is
projected to increase nearly 23 percent to 868 million, with the share of the
population that is food insecure growing from 20.4 percent to 21.5 percent.”
In trade
news, James Politi reported
on Wednesday at The Financial Times Online that, “General government
procurement accounts for more than 10 per cent of economic output in the US,
according to the OECD, the Paris based group of countries that tries to promote
growth. So a proliferation of Buy
America bills – similar to the one supported by [Ron Young, a
veteran Maryland legislator], which requires Maryland to choose domestically
produced products over foreign ones where possible – are barriers that European officials would like to see
removed in trade talks, due to begin next month.
“‘What we
are trying to establish in these negotiations is
free trade – we’re not going to be able to do that everywhere but that is the
general objective – and that means
not discriminating between European goods or services and their American
counterparts,’ says an EU official in Washington. ‘This is an issue
for us because in Europe we have
used procurement as an instrument to open up trade between member states, and in
doing that we haven’t discriminated against foreigners.’”
Regulations
Reuters writer Douwe Miedema reported
yesterday that, “A top U.S. regulator charged former MF Global chief Jon
Corzine over the collapse of the futures brokerage, blaming the former
Goldman Sachs co-chief executive with being a key actor
in one of the country’s 10 biggest bankruptcies.
“The Commodity Futures Trading Commission said on Thursday it
will seek in a civil case to ban Corzine and former Assistant Treasurer Edith
O’Brien from the industry, and also seek penalties against the two.”
In a statement yesterday, Sen. Ag Comm.
Chairwoman Debbie Stabenow (D., Mich.) indicated that, “This
is an important step forward and I appreciate that the CFTC continues to pursue
this matter and fight for customers and market integrity. As I have said before,
there must be accountability in this case and we need to do all we can to help
MF Global customers get their money back. The loss of $1.2 billion in customer
funds represents an extraordinary breach of trust and devastated thousands of
farmers, ranchers and small businesses who rely on the futures market to hedge
business risk. The Senate Agriculture Committee will continue throughout the
upcoming CFTC reauthorization process to consider additional protections to
ensure that customer money is not used improperly and to prevent situations
like the MF Global bankruptcy from happening again.”
And Randy
Neugebauer (R., Tex.), Chairman of the
Financial Services Subcommittee on Housing and Insurance, noted yesterday that, “The CFTC’s
conclusions track closely with my subcommittee’s findings that Jon Corzine’s
decisions caused farmers, ranchers, and other customers to lose more than $1
billion. He didn’t act in good faith as a steward of these funds, and he
violated his legal obligations by failing to adequately oversee MF Global’s operations. He should bear the
responsibility for these unlawful and harmful actions. I appreciate all
the work the CFTC has put into this case.”
On a separate
issue, Reuters writer Charles Abbott reported yesterday
that, “U.S. lawmakers will examine the proposed purchase of Smithfield
Foods, the world’s largest pork processor, by Shuanghui
International of China at a hearing in July, Debbie Stabenow,
the head of the Senate Agriculture Committee, said on Thursday.
“Smithfield
Chief Executive Larry Pope will be among those to testify at
the July 10 hearing. Other witnesses have not been announced.”
Immigration
Sara Murray and Janet Hook reported
in today’s Wall Street Journal that, “The Senate easily passed the most
sweeping changes to immigration law in nearly 30 years, sending the landmark
measure to the House, where conservative lawmakers threaten to slow the
drive to grant legal status to many of the estimated 11 million people living
illegally in the U.S.
“The 68-32
vote Thursday marked a major step in a long-debated overhaul to the
immigration system and drew ceremonial flourish. Vice President Joe
Biden presided over the proceedings, and lawmakers rose from their
desks to cast their votes, a rarely used gesture of formality.
“Fourteen Republicans joined all of the Senate
Democrats and two independents to support the measure, in a clear
marker of how far the political calculus of immigration reform has shifted in
the six years since a similar effort stalled on the Senate floor.”
The Journal
writers noted that, “House Republican leaders have pledged to chart their
own path, which is sure to diverge from the Senate’s bipartisan approach.
“In
particular, the two chambers are likely to clash over the Senate-backed
provision to grant legal status and a possibility of citizenship to illegal
immigrants, an idea rejected by many House conservatives.
“‘The House
is not going to take up and vote on whatever the Senate passes,’ House
Speaker John Boehner said Thursday before the final Senate
vote. But in a sign of how far House Republicans are from consensus on their
alternative, Mr. Boehner wouldn’t say what he wanted to see in the bill.”
Mike Lillis reported yesterday at The
Hill Online that, “The surprise failure
of the farm bill last week is not a bad omen for immigration reform, Rep. Nancy
Pelosi (D-Calif.) insisted Thursday.
“The Democratic leader said the two issues are entirely
separate and will be treated as such.
“‘The farm
bill was a bad sign for what happened on the farm bill,’ Pelosi said during a
press briefing in the Capitol. ‘Every day is a new day here in terms of the
legislation and what the public demand for legislation is.’”
--
Keith Good
President
FarmPolicy.com, Inc.
Champaign, IL
(t) 217.356.2269
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